The UK's role in resolving Western Sahara's frozen conflict

Written on 02/03/2024
via RUSI

The Western Sahara conflict is a "frozen conflict" that has resisted resolution for decades. The situation is characterized by militant groups, external parties, and humanitarian suffering, leading to instability and violence. Morocco has proposed a solution called the Moroccan Autonomy Plan for Western Sahara, which offers self-government under Moroccan sovereignty. This plan has received support from key allies and is seen as the best way to achieve peace and prosperity in the region. Critics of the plan offer no credible alternative, while those who remain neutral often have their own regional agendas. The large refugee population living in camps in Algeria is caught in a state of inertia, extremism, or migration. The implementation of the Moroccan Autonomy Plan offers the prospect of employment and prosperity, while the alternatives pose security risks. The UK should support Morocco's initiative, as it aligns with shared interests in the rule of law, human rights, and sustainable development. The plan is increasingly recognized as the only realistic and constructive solution to the conflict. The UK's principles of self-determination will not be compromised by supporting the plan.



• The Western Sahara conflict has persisted for decades without resolution.

• Morocco's Autonomy Plan for Western Sahara offers a viable solution that deserves support.

• The plan suggests that the Sahrawis govern themselves under Moroccan sovereignty.

• Morocco has made substantial investments in the region and enjoys support from important allies.

• Rejecting the plan would mean enduring ongoing suffering, extremism, and violence.

• The security and stability of the region is crucial for the UK and the international community.

• Backing Morocco's Autonomy Plan for Western Sahara is the right move for the UK.



The Western Sahara conflict is a long-standing issue that has yet to be resolved. It is considered a "frozen conflict" due to the ongoing tensions and lack of progress in finding a solution. The conflict is characterized by militant groups pursuing their own agendas, with support from external parties. This has resulted in human suffering, regional tensions, and overall instability in the region.

The history of the Western Sahara region is complex, but it has long been linked to the Sultans of Morocco. After gaining independence from France in 1956, Morocco took control of the Saharan provinces in 1975 when Spain relinquished control. However, the Frente Polisario, a separatist movement supported by Algeria, emerged in opposition to Moroccan control. In an effort to find a peaceful resolution, the United Nations established the UN Mission for the Referendum in Western Sahara (MINURSO) in 1991. However, after 20 years, a referendum was deemed unworkable due to the nomadic nature of the Saharan population and demographic changes.

Morocco has put forward a proposal for negotiating autonomy in the Western Sahara, which has garnered support from key allies such as France, Germany, Spain, the Netherlands, and the United States. The Moroccan Autonomy Plan suggests that the Sahrawis, the indigenous people of the region, would govern themselves under Moroccan sovereignty, except in defense and foreign affairs. The text argues in favor of supporting this plan, highlighting the dire conditions faced by the Sahrawis, who currently live in refugee camps in Algeria and rely heavily on international aid. The author suggests that implementing the Moroccan Autonomy Plan could provide the Sahrawis with employment opportunities and prosperity, offering them a better future. The alternative, maintaining the status quo or resorting to violence, would pose a risk to security and stability in the region.

The text also mentions the influence of the Iranian Qods Force and its Hezbollah proxies, which further exacerbates the security threat in the Western Sahara region. The author emphasizes that the security, stability, and prosperity of the region are of vital interest to the United Kingdom and other responsible leaders in the international community. The UK and Morocco share common values and interests, including a commitment to the rule of law, human rights, religious tolerance, and sustainable development. Additionally, they have aligned interests in areas such as military cooperation, energy security, and food security.

In conclusion, the Western Sahara conflict remains unresolved, causing ongoing suffering and instability in the region. The Moroccan Autonomy Plan presents a potential solution that has gained support from key allies. Implementing this plan could provide the Sahrawis with a better future, offering them employment opportunities and prosperity. The alternative, maintaining the status quo or resorting to violence, poses a risk to security and stability in the region. The United Kingdom, along with other responsible leaders, has a vested interest in supporting a peaceful resolution to the conflict, as it aligns with their values and interests in the region.

RUSI